The Hard Market Puts the Classic Car Market to the Test (2024)

A surge in classic car values—primarily due to rising inflation and exchange rate variability—means that owners are facing insurance-related issues.

The global classic cars industry was estimated to be worth $31.1 billion in 2021 and is expected to be worth approximately $51.3 billion by 2028, according to a report by Credence Research. The U.S. accounts for the largest share of this market, generating an estimated revenue of $15 billion in 2020, which is projected to grow to $19 billion by 2024, according to Statista. Based on these numbers, America's affair with classic cars is a love supreme.

Yet, despite this impressive growth in revenue, classic car enthusiasts are dealing with what many in the insurance industry are facing: a hard market. Further, a surge in classic car values—primarily due to rising inflation, as well as exchange rate variability that is having a major impact on the more expensive cars traded globally—means that owners are facing insurance-related issues.

“The classic car insurance market is being affected by the larger hard market in general," says Bryant Kolle, regional vice president, Hagerty. “On the high-net-worth side of the market we are seeing unbundling at an unprecedented rate and as more carriers non-renew risks that were once bundled together, brokers and agents are needing to find places for these cars."

In addition, many carriers face losses from natural disasters, construction costs and inflation and have been left with limited financial options in recent years. “One option for carriers is simple: to take more rate to offset losses—this is not ideal for the consumer who doesn't want to pay for others' losses," says Joshua Grundy, director of new business development, Grundy Insurance. “The other option is to take more care when underwriting and limit your exposure upfront."

This is where the expertise of an independent agent specializing in this niche market can really come to the fore. Agents can best serve clients “by working with insurers that specialize in collector cars because these companies better understand values, the industry and the unique differences between collector cars and standard auto," says Rick Drewry, senior training specialist, claims, collector vehicle and motorcycle, American Modern. “Classic car values go up and down alongside fluctuations in financial markets and agents can better anticipate clients' needs by keeping an eye on broad economic trends."

In addition, “it's important to work with a carrier who understands the nuances of the collector car market, has a track record of excellent claims paying, and can help to establish the replacement value of the vehicle," says Tim Dadik, national classics leader and western agency experience manager, Berkley One, a Berkley Company. “It is important for the carrier to have a claims department in-house to help make the experience seamless. Some carriers are part of a much larger organization, and a client could experience multiple parties and lengthy settlement times."

In specialized markets like this, classic car insurance provides specialized coverage options tailored to the needs of classic car owners. This was especially apparent when a classic car enthusiast purchased a 1955 Mercedes-Benz 300 SLR Uhlenhaut Coupe for $142 million at an auction on May 5, 2022, at the Mercedes-Benz Museum in Stuttgart, Germany. This sale has been reported as the highest price ever paid for a car at auction, smashing the previous record by more than $90 million.

Essentially, “values for classic cars increased between 20-50% for a lot of vehicles right after the pandemic with our top 100 most-insured vehicle types seeing a significant rise in value from 2021-2022," Kolle says. “Agents need to understand that unless they have changed the values on these vehicles recently, they are likely very underinsured. In the event of a claim, that is a big part of claims disputes when values haven't been raised in years."

Most importantly, when working with a client with a classic car, agree upon the value for which the vehicle will be insured. “Getting the appropriate coverage comes down to one thing primarily: agreed value coverage," Grundy says.

“If the vehicles remain on an actual cash value (ACV) policy, that will complicate matters, as recent comps might not be able to establish a satisfactory value for the owner and their vehicle," Kolle adds. “You want agreed value coverage (AVC) for these generally appreciating assets and make sure the values remain accurate through annual check in with clients. Make sure to utilize tools available to agents to check on clients' values."

“Values are the most common coverage gap," Dadik says. “The more knowledge an agent has on vehicle conditions and how to properly value a vehicle, the easier it becomes to help establish an accurate agreed value amount."

Over the next five to 10 years, the market will continue to grow and evolve. One area for agents to consider in addition to classic cars is the collector truck market. “The collector truck market is very strong, and it is a good segment of the hobby to participate in," Drewry says. “The number of collector truck enthusiasts continues to grow, and vehicles are available at the entry level all the way up to trucks valued at $100,000 or more."

“Between trucks and modern-day muscle cars, the hobby represents a tremendous opportunity for agents, which should continue for the foreseeable future," Drewry adds.

Olivia Overmanis IA content editor.

The Hard Market Puts the Classic Car Market to the Test (2024)

FAQs

How is the classic car market doing? ›

The Market Rating has dropped 19 of the 22 months since its 78.22 peak in the summer of 2022, to its lowest value in three years. That said, its current value of 65.41 is still higher than any point in the four years leading up to the Market Rating's most recent surge.

What is the classic car market trend in 2024? ›

One of the biggest classic car market trends in 2024 is the shift towards cars and trucks made in the 1980s. This trend is attributable to millennials choosing the cheaper and more accessible 1980s models over their older counterparts when buying their first classic cars.

Is owning a classic car worth it? ›

Classic cars can be a risky investment. Even if you purchase a model that significantly increases in value after you buy it, you may still put more money into it with repairs and maintenance costs. Additionally, collector trends are unpredictable, so you can't bank on a specific model dramatically increasing in value.

Will classic cars lose their value? ›

As our experts suggested, this is more of a return to normal than it is an implosion of classic car values. The current non-inflation adjusted median sale price is $30,450, a significant drop from its high of $34,560 in October 2022, but it's really just a reset to October 2020 levels.

What happens to classic car prices during a recession? ›

Next, recession also affects values of classic cars. In 2008 and 2009 values of even the most expensive cars like many Ferraris and the 300SL went down by about 20%.

Why are classic cars getting so expensive? ›

The financial crisis has forced people to look for new reliable sources of investment, so they put money into vintage cars. A new car gets cheaper every year, but a retro one, on the contrary, gets more expensive every year; it can generate as much income as stocks or real estate.

What is going to happen to classic cars? ›

What will happen to classic cars after 2035? Good news for classic car enthusiasts, the sale and use of classic cars will still be allowed. However, running and maintenance costs are likely to increase. Cars that are already rare may become even more sought-after as collector's items, increasing their value.

What does the future hold for classic cars? ›

Classic cars are not being banned, but it's likely the next few decades will see a shift that may eventually present a challenge for classic car drivers. This includes increased availability of electric car charging points and decreased space at fuel stations for traditional petrol and diesel pumps.

Will used car prices go down 2024? ›

Retail used car prices are falling slowly in 2024

In early 2024, used car prices are holding steady, even as new car prices drop quickly. Hybrid and EV prices remain elevated above the overall market, but the gap is narrowing.

Is it OK to daily drive a classic car? ›

Yes, it's possible to use a classic car as your daily driver. The car must be roadworthy if you're going to use it frequently, which usually means more maintenance and repair.

What is the best classic car to invest in? ›

Top 10 Most Investable Classic Cars
  • 1960s Porsche 911. ...
  • 1960s Shelby Cobra. ...
  • Jaguar E-Type. ...
  • 1960s Chevrolet Corvette. ...
  • Lamborghini Countach. ...
  • 1970s Porsche 930 Turbo. ...
  • Aston Martin DB5. ...
  • 1957 BMW 507.

Do classic cars break down a lot? ›

“Regular maintenance from specialists who understand these specific models can mitigate some issues, but a higher frequency of breakdowns should be expected compared to more modern classics.”

What is the most sought after classic vehicle? ›

Top Ten Most Popular Classic Cars
  • 1967 Chevrolet Corvette 427.
  • 1967 Ford Mustang.
  • 1957 Chevrolet Bel-Air.
  • 1931 Ford Model A.
  • 1967 Chevrolet Camaro RS.
  • 1957 Ford Thunderbird.
  • 1973 Ford Bronco.
  • 1969 Porsche 911T.
Feb 17, 2023

Will old classic cars be banned? ›

Bill amended so pre-1976 vehicles will not be banned from roads. California is continuing its push to clean up its air by trying to block more older vehicles from staying on its roads. But unlike earlier versions, classic cars still will be allowed to cruise the California highways.

What is the best place to sell a classic car? ›

Where Can I Sell a Classic Car?
  • Sell Through a Dealer or Broker. One of the best ways to sell your classic car is by enlisting the help of a dealer or broker. ...
  • Sell Through an Online Marketplace. ...
  • Sell Through an Auction. ...
  • Sell at an Auto Show. ...
  • Sell Through Classified Ads. ...
  • Classics on AutoTrader. ...
  • Hemmings. ...
  • ClassicCars.com.
Feb 21, 2024

Is there a future for classic cars? ›

One big concern is that with petrol and diesel vehicle production ending, all vehicles will, in time, move away from fossil fuels and that classic car owners will need to effectively convert their old car to an EV in order to stay usable.

Are old cars going up in value? ›

Most true classics go up a bit in value every year, not always keeping up with inflation but still going up. It depends a lot on the car, it's condition, desirability and availability. Low production cars (one of…

Are Millennials buying classic cars? ›

Hagerty's data refutes the belief that younger people are less interested in owning classic or collector vehicles than previous generations. For example, 53% of Gen Z, 57% of millennial and 49% of Gen X respondents were “very interested” in owning a classic car.

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